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Red27
219913.9
172727.1
46388.7
Blue9
85143.6
253710.8
78862.5
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53210406080100279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.12.1
23.421.3
Auto11.6
Teleop14.7
End0.8
red by 16.4
2537
#26
10.81.5
12.611.1
Auto4.6
Teleop4.1
End2.1
Second
13.91.3
10.89.5
Auto4.5
Teleop8.4
End1.0
red by 10.4
8514
#34
3.61.5
8.16.6
Auto3.6
Teleop-0.5
End0.4
Third
4638
#35
8.72.1
9.67.5
Auto3.0
Teleop4.5
End1.2
red by 6.1
7886
#23
2.51.5
2.00.5
Auto1.2
Teleop1.1
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed