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Red59
219913.9
454119.8
832615.7
Blue27
172727.1
28499.4
17197.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464002060801001201401605927

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.80.7
18.218.9
Auto7.1
Teleop11.4
End1.3
blue by 7.4
27.11.1
17.516.4
Auto11.6
Teleop14.7
End0.8
Second
8326
#12
15.70.4
13.413.8
Auto7.3
Teleop6.4
End2.1
red by 6.3
2849
#24
9.41.1
9.18.0
Auto5.0
Teleop3.5
End1.0
Third
13.90.4
9.49.8
Auto4.5
Teleop8.4
End1.0
red by 6.1
1719
#21
7.81.1
10.29.1
Auto3.9
Teleop2.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed