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Red65
138913.5
78862.5
162933.9
Blue36
86229.8
872612.5
37939.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49320204060801006536

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.91.5
31.232.7
Auto13.9
Teleop18.6
End1.4
red by 21.3
8726
#13
12.50.0
11.211.2
Auto5.6
Teleop5.8
End1.1
Second
1389
#18
13.51.8
12.714.5
Auto4.4
Teleop7.4
End1.7
red by 3.7
8622
#33
9.80.0
10.110.1
Auto6.0
Teleop2.8
End1.0
Third
7886
#23
2.51.8
-1.40.5
Auto1.2
Teleop1.1
End0.2
blue by 6.9
3793
#32
9.40.0
9.79.7
Auto3.9
Teleop5.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsEarned6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed