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Red35
85143.6
61415.7
62137.4
Blue25
14188.8
28499.4
52435.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32260102040506070803525

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
614
#3
15.70.7
16.615.9
Auto8.4
Teleop6.0
End1.3
red by 6.3
2849
#24
9.40.0
7.98.0
Auto5.0
Teleop3.5
End1.0
Second
6213
#20
7.40.7
7.16.4
Auto3.4
Teleop3.6
End0.5
blue by 1.4
1418
#22
8.80.0
10.910.9
Auto1.1
Teleop6.1
End1.6
Third
8514
#34
3.60.7
4.84.1
Auto3.6
Teleop-0.5
End0.4
blue by 1.7
5243
#30
5.30.0
5.75.8
Auto1.7
Teleop3.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed