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Red61
78862.5
11611.3
172727.1
Blue59
374815.2
88822.3
138913.5
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions336102040801006159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.12.1
24.426.5
Auto11.6
Teleop14.7
End0.8
red by 4.8
888
#10
22.30.6
21.320.7
Auto10.0
Teleop10.9
End1.4
Second
116
#17
11.32.5
8.310.8
Auto4.7
Teleop6.2
End0.4
blue by 3.9
3748
#15
15.20.6
16.215.6
Auto6.2
Teleop7.5
End1.4
Third
7886
#23
2.52.1
0.52.5
Auto1.2
Teleop1.1
End0.2
blue by 11.0
1389
#18
13.50.6
14.513.9
Auto4.4
Teleop7.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed