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Red39
374815.2
832615.7
138913.5
Blue50
454119.8
190814.9
11611.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5049204060801003950

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8326
#12
15.70.2
16.015.7
Auto7.3
Teleop6.4
End2.1
blue by 4.0
19.80.1
19.319.4
Auto7.1
Teleop11.4
End1.3
Second
3748
#15
15.20.2
15.515.2
Auto6.2
Teleop7.5
End1.4
red by 0.3
14.90.1
14.414.5
Auto5.9
Teleop7.5
End1.5
Third
1389
#18
13.50.2
13.813.5
Auto4.4
Teleop7.4
End1.7
red by 2.2
116
#17
11.30.2
10.710.8
Auto4.7
Teleop6.2
End0.4