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Red31
511517.9
445617.5
632616.3
Blue60
454119.8
190814.9
11611.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61482040801003160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.90.5
18.417.9
Auto7.5
Teleop9.0
End1.3
blue by 1.9
19.80.3
19.419.7
Auto7.1
Teleop11.4
End1.3
Second
17.50.5
18.017.5
Auto9.4
Teleop5.7
End2.5
red by 2.7
14.90.3
14.514.8
Auto5.9
Teleop7.5
End1.5
Third
6326
#19
16.30.5
16.816.3
Auto7.4
Teleop6.8
End2.1
red by 4.9
116
#17
11.30.4
10.811.3
Auto4.7
Teleop6.2
End0.4