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Red63
456427.2
172915.2
615320.5
Blue72
545917.2
13331.0
905512.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67644050607080901006372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.20.3
26.326.5
Auto11.9
Teleop12.3
End3.0
blue by 3.9
133
#2
31.01.4
30.231.6
Auto10.8
Teleop13.4
End6.8
Second
20.50.2
19.119.3
Auto6.7
Teleop13.2
End0.7
red by 3.3
5459
#10
17.21.0
18.019.0
Auto8.1
Teleop8.2
End0.9
Third
1729
#14
15.20.3
14.614.8
Auto7.1
Teleop7.3
End0.8
red by 3.3
9055
#16
12.00.9
9.710.6
Auto6.4
Teleop4.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsEarned56%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
35%Ensemble oddsMissed47%Ensemble oddsEarned