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Red55
52657.0
841018.3
615320.5
Blue21
34517.6
97328.7
79074.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3425010203040506070805521

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.51.7
13.915.6
Auto6.7
Teleop13.2
End0.7
red by 11.8
9732
#21
8.70.3
6.05.7
Auto5.5
Teleop3.2
End-0.0
Second
8410
#11
18.32.8
10.813.6
Auto6.6
Teleop8.9
End2.8
red by 10.7
3451
#28
7.60.3
9.28.9
Auto1.8
Teleop4.0
End1.8
Third
5265
#27
7.01.7
4.96.6
Auto3.9
Teleop2.7
End0.4
red by 2.6
7907
#29
4.40.3
8.27.9
Auto1.7
Teleop1.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsEarned20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed