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Red51
17212.6
61618.8
545917.2
Blue19
27126.2
905512.0
79074.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4135102030506070805119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5459
#10
17.20.9
14.915.8
Auto8.1
Teleop8.2
End0.9
red by 5.2
9055
#16
12.00.9
11.911.0
Auto6.4
Teleop4.9
End0.7
Second
172
#22
12.61.0
12.914.0
Auto5.5
Teleop5.5
End1.7
red by 6.4
2712
#26
6.21.5
10.79.2
Auto1.8
Teleop4.5
End-0.0
Third
6161
#19
8.81.0
8.89.9
Auto0.4
Teleop5.8
End2.6
red by 4.4
7907
#29
4.41.5
9.78.2
Auto1.7
Teleop1.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsEarned28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned14%Ensemble oddsMissed