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Red92
264826.3
568735.6
110021.1
Blue42
490613.4
252311.6
447316.9
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8243020601001201409242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.61.5
29.631.1
Auto9.0
Teleop24.9
End1.7
red by 18.6
4473
#18
16.90.4
15.415.1
Auto5.8
Teleop9.6
End1.5
Second
26.31.5
22.624.1
Auto7.2
Teleop16.2
End2.9
red by 12.9
4906
#20
13.40.4
14.914.5
Auto3.8
Teleop7.6
End2.0
Third
1100
#15
21.12.5
17.419.9
Auto7.5
Teleop11.6
End2.0
red by 9.5
2523
#13
11.60.6
13.412.8
Auto4.6
Teleop5.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
78%Melody oddsEarned51%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsEarned18%Ensemble oddsMissed