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Red61
84218.5
632947.0
27126.2
Blue73
910117.0
615320.5
5829.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69622040801001206173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.00.2
43.743.5
Auto14.2
Teleop29.7
End3.2
red by 17.6
58
#4
29.40.9
26.727.7
Auto13.2
Teleop14.5
End1.7
Second
8421
#24
8.50.3
9.08.7
Auto4.3
Teleop2.9
End1.3
blue by 12.0
20.50.9
15.716.6
Auto6.7
Teleop13.2
End0.7
Third
2712
#26
6.20.3
9.28.9
Auto1.8
Teleop4.5
End-0.0
blue by 10.8
9101
#12
17.01.3
14.816.2
Auto7.2
Teleop9.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
73%Melody oddsEarned46%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed