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Red100
61618.8
110021.1
632947.0
Blue31
490613.4
545917.2
52657.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8837020608010012014010031

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.00.8
45.246.0
Auto14.2
Teleop29.7
End3.2
red by 29.8
5459
#10
17.20.9
18.017.1
Auto8.1
Teleop8.2
End0.9
Second
1100
#15
21.10.9
20.121.0
Auto7.5
Teleop11.6
End2.0
red by 7.7
4906
#20
13.40.9
13.612.7
Auto3.8
Teleop7.6
End2.0
Third
6161
#19
8.80.9
7.88.7
Auto0.4
Teleop5.8
End2.6
red by 1.8
5265
#27
7.00.9
7.97.0
Auto3.9
Teleop2.7
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsEarned40%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed