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Red43
68956.9
404121.6
264826.3
Blue55
490613.4
910117.0
615320.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions625302040801001201404355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.30.3
26.426.1
Auto7.2
Teleop16.2
End2.9
red by 5.8
20.50.0
19.819.9
Auto6.7
Teleop13.2
End0.7
Second
21.60.3
21.621.4
Auto9.1
Teleop10.8
End1.7
red by 4.6
9101
#12
17.00.0
16.416.4
Auto7.2
Teleop9.2
End0.7
Third
6895
#17
6.90.3
7.06.7
Auto1.4
Teleop3.8
End1.7
blue by 6.5
4906
#20
13.40.0
12.712.8
Auto3.8
Teleop7.6
End2.0