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Red29
252311.6
17212.6
84218.5
Blue62
264826.3
404121.6
68956.9
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326402040801001201402962

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172
#22
12.60.1
12.712.6
Auto5.5
Teleop5.5
End1.7
blue by 13.7
26.30.0
26.126.1
Auto7.2
Teleop16.2
End2.9
Second
2523
#13
11.60.1
11.611.6
Auto4.6
Teleop5.5
End1.4
blue by 10.0
21.60.0
21.421.3
Auto9.1
Teleop10.8
End1.7
Third
8421
#24
8.50.1
8.68.5
Auto4.3
Teleop2.9
End1.3
red by 1.6
6895
#17
6.90.0
6.76.7
Auto1.4
Teleop3.8
End1.7