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Red71
264824.2
271333.9
99834.7
Blue64
13334.7
17218.7
632936.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5811501001502007164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.90.0
31.831.8
Auto9.8
Teleop22.3
End1.8
blue by 2.9
6329
#13
36.82.2
40.538.3
Auto12.1
Teleop22.7
End2.0
Second
2648
#10
24.20.0
23.823.9
Auto9.5
Teleop11.9
End2.9
blue by 10.5
133
#11
34.72.2
35.933.8
Auto10.0
Teleop17.3
End7.5
Third
9983
#27
4.70.1
4.74.8
Auto3.3
Teleop0.4
End0.8
blue by 14.0
172
#28
18.72.2
20.017.8
Auto7.8
Teleop8.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsMissed92%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed74%Ensemble oddsMissed