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Qual 222024 Summer Heat
Red86
431118.2
271333.9
99978.6
Blue51
97322.0
804619.8
490921.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions564602040801008651

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2713
#6
33.92.1
31.8→33.9
Auto9.8
Teleop22.3
End1.8
red by 12.2
4909
#20
21.70.6
20.8→21.4
Auto9.7
Teleop9.0
End3.0
Second
4311
#9
18.22.1
15.1→17.2
Auto8.4
Teleop8.9
End0.9
blue by 1.5
8046
#17
19.80.6
19.3→19.9
Auto9.4
Teleop9.5
End0.9
Third
9997
#14
8.63.5
5.3→8.8
Auto4.2
Teleop4.0
End0.2
red by 6.6
9732
#18
2.00.6
2.1→2.7
Auto3.2
Teleop-2.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed