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Qual 242024 Summer Heat
Red78
447318.0
346735.4
944320.7
Blue87
264824.2
80238.6
568737.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions807702003004005006007007887

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3467
#26
35.40.5
34.7→35.2
Auto9.0
Teleop24.3
End2.1
blue by 2.1
5687
#1
37.40.5
37.6→38.1
Auto8.7
Teleop25.8
End2.9
Second
9443
#25
20.70.5
19.2→19.7
Auto10.5
Teleop7.7
End2.5
blue by 3.5
2648
#10
24.20.5
23.9→24.4
Auto9.5
Teleop11.9
End2.9
Third
4473
#16
18.00.5
17.3→17.7
Auto7.5
Teleop8.7
End1.8
red by 9.4
8023
#12
8.60.5
8.1→8.6
Auto4.7
Teleop2.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
74%Melody oddsEarned43%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsEarned