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Red31
804619.8
80238.6
99834.7
Blue41
490921.7
61616.5
99988.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404701001502003141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8046
#17
19.81.2
20.519.2
Auto9.4
Teleop9.5
End0.9
blue by 2.0
4909
#20
21.70.9
25.724.7
Auto9.7
Teleop9.0
End3.0
Second
8023
#12
8.61.2
8.57.3
Auto4.7
Teleop2.5
End1.4
blue by 0.2
9998
#15
8.81.6
10.58.9
Auto5.5
Teleop3.1
End0.1
Third
9983
#27
4.72.1
10.58.4
Auto3.3
Teleop0.4
End0.8
blue by 1.8
6161
#22
6.50.9
9.18.1
Auto2.8
Teleop0.5
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed