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Red83
271333.9
456427.5
80238.6
Blue83
31926.4
447318.0
346735.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77910501502002503003504008383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.90.2
33.934.1
Auto9.8
Teleop22.3
End1.8
blue by 1.5
3467
#26
35.40.1
35.235.2
Auto9.0
Teleop24.3
End2.1
Second
27.50.2
27.627.8
Auto12.3
Teleop11.8
End3.5
red by 1.1
319
#7
26.40.1
26.226.3
Auto3.9
Teleop21.9
End0.7
Third
8023
#12
8.60.2
8.68.8
Auto4.7
Teleop2.5
End1.4
blue by 9.4
4473
#16
18.00.1
17.717.8
Auto7.5
Teleop8.7
End1.8