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Red11
99992.1
92807.9
478210.8
Blue17
664716.0
75462.4
35271.5
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38390501001501117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4782
#21
10.81.9
14.012.1
Auto5.2
Teleop5.3
End0.4
blue by 5.2
16.01.2
20.619.4
Auto4.9
Teleop9.7
End1.4
Second
9280
#19
7.91.9
16.114.2
Auto1.8
Teleop5.3
End0.8
red by 5.4
7546
#13
2.41.2
8.67.4
Auto2.0
Teleop0.4
End0.1
Third
9999
#18
2.13.1
5.12.0
Auto2.9
Teleop-1.3
End0.4
red by 0.5
3527
#22
1.51.2
5.74.5
Auto1.3
Teleop0.2
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed