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Red25
57166.2
51335.2
478210.8
Blue38
829311.3
34727.6
440029.1
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2060040801001202538

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4782
#21
10.80.2
11.111.0
Auto5.2
Teleop5.3
End0.4
blue by 18.3
29.10.8
32.031.2
Auto11.7
Teleop16.4
End1.0
Second
5716
#25Sur
6.20.2
5.75.5
Auto0.2
Teleop5.0
End1.0
blue by 5.2
8293
#8Sur
11.30.8
9.78.9
Auto5.5
Teleop5.6
End0.2
Third
5133
#28
5.20.2
5.65.4
Auto2.4
Teleop2.1
End0.8
blue by 2.4
3472
#14
7.60.8
8.27.4
Auto3.4
Teleop4.2
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed