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Red39
664716.0
670213.5
595912.0
Blue17
440315.0
92807.9
61062.4
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5536020801003917

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.00.9
17.016.0
Auto4.9
Teleop9.7
End1.4
red by 1.0
4403
#23
15.01.2
19.017.8
Auto5.0
Teleop8.5
End1.5
Second
13.50.9
16.715.8
Auto4.4
Teleop7.1
End1.9
red by 5.6
9280
#19
7.91.2
11.310.1
Auto1.8
Teleop5.3
End0.8
Third
5959
#29
12.00.9
14.213.3
Auto5.1
Teleop5.1
End1.7
red by 9.6
6106
#26
2.41.2
4.53.3
Auto1.6
Teleop0.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsMissed