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Red49
335414.1
473110.6
61062.4
Blue28
829311.3
228315.8
34808.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions214504060801004928

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3354
#10
14.10.9
10.511.3
Auto3.9
Teleop9.1
End1.0
blue by 1.7
2283
#12
15.80.8
19.018.2
Auto9.0
Teleop5.6
End1.2
Second
10.60.9
8.39.2
Auto4.5
Teleop4.8
End1.4
blue by 0.7
11.30.8
10.29.4
Auto5.5
Teleop5.6
End0.2
Third
6106
#26
2.40.9
3.34.2
Auto1.6
Teleop0.2
End0.6
blue by 5.6
3480
#31
8.00.8
8.98.1
Auto3.2
Teleop4.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed