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Red50
710217.2
460319.4
594813.6
Blue43
35271.5
742124.9
51335.2
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5838020801005043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4603
#11
19.40.0
21.021.0
Auto7.6
Teleop10.2
End1.6
blue by 5.5
24.90.2
27.427.1
Auto8.6
Teleop14.7
End1.6
Second
17.20.0
13.413.4
Auto5.8
Teleop9.2
End2.2
red by 11.9
5133
#28
5.20.2
5.65.4
Auto2.4
Teleop2.1
End0.8
Third
5948
#27
13.60.0
15.815.8
Auto5.7
Teleop6.4
End1.6
red by 12.1
3527
#22
1.50.2
3.73.5
Auto1.3
Teleop0.2
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed