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Red50
61062.4
710217.2
39338.5
Blue39
51335.2
61707.9
228315.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2456040801001201401605039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.21.0
13.314.2
Auto5.8
Teleop9.2
End2.2
red by 1.4
2283
#12
15.81.5
22.521.0
Auto9.0
Teleop5.6
End1.2
Second
3933
#24
8.51.2
6.47.6
Auto6.5
Teleop1.4
End0.5
red by 0.6
6170
#17
7.91.5
16.114.5
Auto4.6
Teleop2.3
End1.0
Third
6106
#26
2.41.2
5.97.1
Auto1.6
Teleop0.2
End0.6
blue by 2.9
5133
#28
5.21.9
8.66.7
Auto2.4
Teleop2.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed