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Red44
473110.6
99992.1
664716.0
Blue58
742124.9
594813.6
670213.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2660040801001201404458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.00.4
15.616.0
Auto4.9
Teleop9.7
End1.4
blue by 8.9
24.90.2
24.224.4
Auto8.6
Teleop14.7
End1.6
Second
10.60.4
10.310.6
Auto4.5
Teleop4.8
End1.4
blue by 3.0
5948
#27
13.60.2
12.913.1
Auto5.7
Teleop6.4
End1.6
Third
9999
#18
2.10.5
1.62.1
Auto2.9
Teleop-1.3
End0.4
blue by 11.4
13.50.2
12.813.0
Auto4.4
Teleop7.1
End1.9