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Red11
742124.9
594813.6
670213.5
Blue27
595912.0
35266.7
829311.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions622602040801001127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.90.9
24.924.0
Auto8.6
Teleop14.7
End1.6
red by 12.9
5959
#29
12.00.0
11.311.3
Auto5.1
Teleop5.1
End1.7
Second
5948
#27
13.60.9
13.612.7
Auto5.7
Teleop6.4
End1.6
red by 2.3
11.30.0
10.710.7
Auto5.5
Teleop5.6
End0.2
Third
13.50.9
13.512.6
Auto4.4
Teleop7.1
End1.9
red by 6.7
3526
#16
6.70.0
6.16.1
Auto3.4
Teleop3.1
End0.2