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Red38
39338.5
570511.2
460319.4
Blue46
335414.1
478210.8
92807.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45330204060801003846

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4603
#11
19.40.1
19.519.4
Auto7.6
Teleop10.2
End1.6
red by 5.3
3354
#10
14.10.2
13.513.7
Auto3.9
Teleop9.1
End1.0
Second
5705
#20
11.20.1
11.311.2
Auto6.8
Teleop3.4
End1.1
red by 0.4
4782
#21
10.80.2
10.210.4
Auto5.2
Teleop5.3
End0.4
Third
3933
#24
8.50.1
8.58.5
Auto6.5
Teleop1.4
End0.5
red by 0.6
9280
#19
7.90.2
7.37.5
Auto1.8
Teleop5.3
End0.8