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Red51
528214.3
83008.6
872820.8
Blue59
553015.0
432715.8
652823.3
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions436320801005159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8728
#30
20.80.3
19.219.5
Auto6.8
Teleop13.1
End0.9
blue by 2.4
23.30.4
22.221.8
Auto7.2
Teleop12.7
End3.3
Second
5282
#22
14.30.3
13.013.3
Auto3.1
Teleop10.2
End0.9
blue by 1.6
4327
#25
15.80.4
15.415.1
Auto5.4
Teleop9.8
End0.6
Third
8300
#23
8.60.3
9.09.3
Auto0.7
Teleop8.2
End-0.3
blue by 6.4
5530
#12
15.00.6
16.916.3
Auto7.2
Teleop6.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsEarned41%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsEarned