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Red60
86219.4
661525.3
634418.2
Blue25
366822.1
52399.7
61907.8
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65300204060801006025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.30.3
24.924.6
Auto10.3
Teleop12.8
End2.3
red by 3.2
3668
#17
22.10.4
18.017.6
Auto9.7
Teleop9.8
End2.6
Second
862
#16
19.40.5
14.413.9
Auto6.2
Teleop10.9
End2.3
red by 9.7
5239
#34
9.70.7
7.06.3
Auto5.0
Teleop2.9
End1.8
Third
6344
#11
18.20.3
15.214.9
Auto4.6
Teleop10.6
End3.0
red by 10.3
6190
#39
7.80.7
6.15.4
Auto3.1
Teleop3.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed