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Red49
829710.6
96729.4
652823.3
Blue79
107630.2
86219.4
570818.2
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30680204060801001204979

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.31.1
18.719.8
Auto7.2
Teleop12.7
End3.3
blue by 6.9
30.21.1
30.831.9
Auto9.7
Teleop17.8
End2.6
Second
8297
#32
10.61.1
7.18.2
Auto5.7
Teleop4.1
End0.8
blue by 8.9
862
#16
19.41.9
14.015.8
Auto6.2
Teleop10.9
End2.3
Third
9672
#38
9.41.9
6.18.0
Auto4.4
Teleop5.2
End-0.2
blue by 8.8
5708
#10
18.21.1
12.413.6
Auto8.3
Teleop9.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsEarned83%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed