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Red46
522717.1
88328.8
233722.7
Blue47
661525.3
88959.8
610111.1
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414902060801001201401604647

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2337
#13
22.70.3
18.819.1
Auto10.2
Teleop12.1
End0.4
blue by 2.6
25.30.2
25.325.6
Auto10.3
Teleop12.8
End2.3
Second
5227
#15
17.10.2
10.911.1
Auto7.6
Teleop7.5
End2.0
red by 6.0
6101
#26
11.10.2
9.49.7
Auto4.5
Teleop3.4
End3.2
Third
8832
#41
8.80.2
8.38.5
Auto5.4
Teleop2.9
End0.5
blue by 1.0
8895
#33
9.80.2
8.79.0
Auto3.5
Teleop6.4
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed