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Red18
96729.4
766015.5
52635.1
Blue68
439510.8
506721.8
661525.3
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2464040801001868

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7660
#19
15.50.5
13.512.9
Auto7.3
Teleop5.3
End2.9
blue by 9.8
25.31.0
25.626.5
Auto10.3
Teleop12.8
End2.3
Second
9672
#38
9.40.9
8.07.1
Auto4.4
Teleop5.2
End-0.2
blue by 12.3
21.81.0
17.618.6
Auto8.4
Teleop11.0
End2.4
Third
5263
#35
5.10.5
4.74.2
Auto1.9
Teleop1.8
End1.4
blue by 5.7
4395
#14
10.81.0
10.211.2
Auto6.2
Teleop1.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed34%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed34%Ensemble oddsMissed