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Red56
514421.4
432715.8
92129.0
Blue34
549810.1
652823.3
610111.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4847203040607080905634

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5144
#27
21.40.2
18.919.0
Auto7.4
Teleop12.3
End1.8
blue by 1.8
23.30.6
21.520.9
Auto7.2
Teleop12.7
End3.3
Second
4327
#25
15.80.2
15.816.0
Auto5.4
Teleop9.8
End0.6
red by 4.7
6101
#26
11.10.6
10.710.1
Auto4.5
Teleop3.4
End3.2
Third
9212
#31
9.00.3
8.68.9
Auto1.6
Teleop6.1
End1.3
blue by 1.1
5498
#21
10.10.6
10.610.0
Auto0.2
Teleop7.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed39%Ensemble oddsEarned