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Red125
661525.3
107630.2
30226.7
Blue79
92048.4
514421.4
6735.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions894802040608010012014012579

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.20.6
28.329.0
Auto9.7
Teleop17.8
End2.6
blue by 5.2
67
#1
35.41.4
28.229.5
Auto11.1
Teleop19.4
End4.9
Second
302
#6
26.70.7
23.624.4
Auto5.8
Teleop16.9
End4.0
red by 5.3
5144
#27
21.41.4
14.215.6
Auto7.4
Teleop12.3
End1.8
Third
25.30.6
23.424.0
Auto10.3
Teleop12.8
End2.3
red by 16.9
9204
#24
8.41.5
6.17.6
Auto4.0
Teleop3.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
72%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsEarned38%Ensemble oddsEarned