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Red25
88328.8
872820.8
52399.7
Blue65
570818.2
92048.4
296020.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424530405060702565

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8728
#30
20.81.0
19.818.7
Auto6.8
Teleop13.1
End0.9
red by 0.8
20.11.4
17.218.6
Auto7.2
Teleop10.0
End2.9
Second
5239
#34
9.71.5
10.59.0
Auto5.0
Teleop2.9
End1.8
blue by 8.5
5708
#10
18.21.0
16.016.9
Auto8.3
Teleop9.0
End0.9
Third
8832
#41
8.81.0
8.37.3
Auto5.4
Teleop2.9
End0.5
red by 0.5
9204
#24
8.41.0
7.28.2
Auto4.0
Teleop3.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed