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Red70
514421.4
436233.5
88959.8
Blue37
553015.0
714710.1
86219.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69470204060801001207037

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.50.7
31.532.2
Auto12.0
Teleop19.0
End2.5
red by 14.0
862
#16
19.41.2
19.418.2
Auto6.2
Teleop10.9
End2.3
Second
5144
#27
21.40.7
19.320.0
Auto7.4
Teleop12.3
End1.8
red by 6.4
5530
#12
15.01.2
15.013.9
Auto7.2
Teleop6.8
End1.1
Third
8895
#33
9.80.7
8.79.4
Auto3.5
Teleop6.4
End-0.1
blue by 0.3
7147
#20
10.10.9
10.89.9
Auto4.5
Teleop4.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsEarned27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed37%Ensemble oddsMissed