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Red36
92418.9
661525.3
92129.0
Blue34
522717.1
52399.7
52635.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49310204060801003634

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.30.4
25.525.1
Auto10.3
Teleop12.8
End2.3
red by 8.2
5227
#15
17.10.3
16.416.7
Auto7.6
Teleop7.5
End2.0
Second
9212
#31
9.00.5
9.08.5
Auto1.6
Teleop6.1
End1.3
blue by 0.7
5239
#34
9.70.4
9.09.4
Auto5.0
Teleop2.9
End1.8
Third
9241
#28
8.90.6
7.97.3
Auto2.1
Teleop4.7
End2.0
red by 3.8
5263
#35
5.10.3
4.64.9
Auto1.9
Teleop1.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed