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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25300102040506070802323

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9703
#15
10.3
Auto5.8
Teleop3.4
End1.0
blue by 2.8
4327
#10
13.1
Auto5.6
Teleop7.0
End0.6
Second
3658
#28
9.4
Auto3.3
Teleop4.3
End1.8
red by 0.7
7256
#12
8.7
Auto2.4
Teleop5.2
End1.1
Third
5248
#13
7.9
Auto3.3
Teleop3.3
End1.3
red by 6.4
9238
#34
1.4
Auto0.8
Teleop0.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed