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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47290204060803438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3767
#11
14.50.5
15.214.6
Auto6.2
Teleop7.5
End0.8
blue by 5.4
19.80.7
18.919.6
Auto6.2
Teleop10.8
End2.8
Second
9215
#27
13.90.5
14.013.5
Auto4.7
Teleop6.7
End2.4
red by 7.9
9239
#31
5.90.7
5.86.5
Auto3.2
Teleop1.9
End0.8
Third
6078
#23
12.10.5
10.810.3
Auto4.0
Teleop6.6
End1.6
red by 9.2
7203
#29
2.90.7
3.54.2
Auto1.5
Teleop0.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed