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Red44
97436.2
442219.1
438117.6
Blue52
515223.9
92036.6
661819.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions475702040801001201404452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.10.2
19.319.1
Auto6.0
Teleop10.9
End2.2
blue by 4.9
23.90.1
23.823.8
Auto7.7
Teleop13.9
End2.3
Second
17.60.2
17.917.6
Auto6.4
Teleop10.1
End1.2
blue by 2.2
19.80.1
19.719.6
Auto6.2
Teleop10.8
End2.8
Third
9743
#35
6.20.2
6.46.2
Auto2.5
Teleop3.3
End0.5
blue by 0.5
9203
#16
6.60.1
6.56.5
Auto2.6
Teleop2.9
End1.1