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Red87
335729.1
921513.9
600221.5
Blue62
515223.9
92036.6
661819.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70500204060801001208762

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.10.6
28.028.6
Auto9.5
Teleop17.5
End2.0
red by 5.2
23.90.3
23.023.3
Auto7.7
Teleop13.9
End2.3
Second
21.50.6
20.421.0
Auto10.0
Teleop7.8
End3.6
red by 1.7
19.80.3
18.919.2
Auto6.2
Teleop10.8
End2.8
Third
9215
#27
13.90.6
12.813.3
Auto4.7
Teleop6.7
End2.4
red by 7.2
9203
#16
6.60.3
5.76.0
Auto2.6
Teleop2.9
End1.1