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Qual 112024 Big Bang!
Red42
262012.4
57319.4
776230.2
Blue43
686113.4
86227.7
28011.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions876302040801001201404243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7762
#17
30.22.3
31.4→29.1
Auto10.8
Teleop17.5
End1.9
red by 2.5
862
#10
27.71.1
30.0→28.9
Auto7.3
Teleop17.1
End3.3
Second
573
#21
19.42.3
20.7→18.4
Auto5.3
Teleop8.7
End5.3
red by 6.0
6861
#25
13.41.1
15.7→14.6
Auto7.3
Teleop4.3
End1.8
Third
2620
#39
12.42.3
24.1→21.8
Auto4.9
Teleop6.5
End1.0
red by 1.3
280
#34
11.11.1
14.1→12.9
Auto4.1
Teleop5.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsMissed46%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
45%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsEarned