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Qual 212024 Big Bang!
Red79
719616.6
686113.4
317527.3
Blue47
353827.0
3604B14.9
262012.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6482020401001201401607947

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3175
#27
27.30.8
30.7→31.6
Auto8.7
Teleop16.3
End2.2
red by 0.3
3538
#24
27.01.6
36.5→34.8
Auto9.4
Teleop12.4
End5.1
Second
7196
#16
16.60.8
14.8→15.6
Auto7.7
Teleop8.3
End0.7
red by 1.8
3604B
#29
14.92.7
16.0→13.2
Auto6.6
Teleop6.0
End2.3
Third
6861
#25
13.40.8
14.4→15.2
Auto7.3
Teleop4.3
End1.8
red by 1.0
2620
#39
12.41.6
19.3→17.6
Auto4.9
Teleop6.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsEarned78%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed35%Ensemble oddsMissed