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Qual 362024 Big Bang!
Red65
924522.5
28011.1
2734.1
Blue85
24720.4
931230.7
719616.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75764050607080901006585

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#8
34.10.2
36.6→36.4
Auto11.1
Teleop20.9
End2.2
red by 3.4
9312
#9
30.71.1
30.4→31.6
Auto11.5
Teleop17.4
End1.8
Second
9245
#19
22.50.2
21.1→20.9
Auto8.0
Teleop13.3
End1.2
red by 2.2
247
#4
20.41.1
21.0→22.1
Auto7.5
Teleop9.6
End3.2
Third
280
#34
11.10.2
11.0→10.7
Auto4.1
Teleop5.3
End1.7
blue by 5.6
7196
#16
16.61.1
16.7→17.8
Auto7.7
Teleop8.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
84%Melody oddsEarned72%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed