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Qual 402024 Big Bang!
Red52
436238.6
509018.4
776230.2
Blue70
413025.2
102515.8
49426.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103740501505270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4362
#14
38.62.5
37.6→35.1
Auto11.9
Teleop22.1
End4.7
red by 11.9
494
#1
26.70.0
24.3→24.3
Auto8.4
Teleop14.3
End4.0
Second
7762
#17
30.22.5
31.0→28.5
Auto10.8
Teleop17.5
End1.9
red by 5.1
4130
#18
25.20.0
26.3→26.3
Auto9.9
Teleop13.1
End2.2
Third
5090
#36
18.42.5
20.9→18.4
Auto11.6
Teleop5.9
End0.9
red by 2.6
1025
#38
15.80.0
20.0→20.0
Auto7.5
Teleop5.1
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
76%Melody oddsMissed59%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed74%Ensemble oddsMissed