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Red75
102515.8
721119.1
776230.2
Blue51
317527.3
262012.4
924522.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions787402040601001201407551

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7762
#17
30.20.3
28.528.9
Auto10.8
Teleop17.5
End1.9
red by 3.0
3175
#27
27.31.4
31.029.5
Auto8.7
Teleop16.3
End2.2
Second
7211
#15
19.10.3
21.521.8
Auto4.8
Teleop12.7
End1.6
blue by 3.4
9245
#19
22.51.4
20.919.4
Auto8.0
Teleop13.3
End1.2
Third
1025
#38
15.80.3
20.020.3
Auto7.5
Teleop5.1
End3.3
red by 3.5
2620
#39
12.41.4
15.614.2
Auto4.9
Teleop6.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsEarned78%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsMissed