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Red54
509018.4
317527.3
1684B11.2
Blue91
57319.4
584328.5
436238.6
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions589401502005491

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3175
#27
27.30.2
28.628.5
Auto8.7
Teleop16.3
End2.2
blue by 11.3
4362
#14
38.60.7
36.337.0
Auto11.9
Teleop22.1
End4.7
Second
5090
#36
18.40.2
17.717.6
Auto11.6
Teleop5.9
End0.9
blue by 10.1
28.50.7
26.627.3
Auto11.9
Teleop14.8
End1.8
Third
11.20.2
10.19.8
Auto4.7
Teleop5.4
End1.1
blue by 8.2
573
#21
19.40.7
17.918.6
Auto5.3
Teleop8.7
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsMissed85%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed45%Ensemble oddsEarned