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Red56
27B22.7
168425.9
3604B14.9
Blue96
719616.6
170130.8
584328.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69800501001502002505696

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1684
#20
25.91.5
24.823.3
Auto5.5
Teleop18.9
End1.6
blue by 4.9
1701
#23
30.81.2
28.129.2
Auto9.8
Teleop19.2
End1.8
Second
27B
#11
22.72.0
23.521.5
Auto6.6
Teleop13.4
End2.7
blue by 5.9
28.51.2
27.328.4
Auto11.9
Teleop14.8
End1.8
Third
14.91.8
15.313.5
Auto6.6
Teleop6.0
End2.3
blue by 1.8
7196
#16
16.61.2
16.117.2
Auto7.7
Teleop8.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsMissed68%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed